Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.288470 1.584733 1.969431 2.522464 3.328211 4.516120 6.527854
2025-03-16 0.879057 1.182710 1.637149 2.420085 3.874614 6.865493 15.305718
2025-03-23 0.714177 1.021877 1.531655 2.543959 4.877833 11.727342 53.580252
2025-03-30 0.599352 0.893319 1.415460 2.566123 5.729216 18.903599 319.189272
2025-04-06 0.511052 0.782976 1.289719 2.494000 6.297028 28.355798 41822.659761
2025-04-13 0.448232 0.702237 1.194706 2.443291 6.923201 44.438220 NaN
2025-04-20 0.420696 0.679021 1.207540 2.676265 9.096110 124.259939 NaN
2025-04-27 0.391207 0.645890 1.189143 2.815451 11.300842 467.855268 NaN
2025-05-04 0.358639 0.600962 1.132347 2.806534 12.774972 2574.597667 NaN
2025-05-11 0.326265 0.551693 1.054546 2.690808 13.334781 41890.385511 NaN
2025-05-18 0.306873 0.526479 1.030032 2.758284 15.898095 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.293379 0.511673 1.028305 2.917066 20.515320 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.275490 0.485659 0.993553 2.931781 23.951827 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.254901 0.451541 0.931266 2.798605 24.614083 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.245158 0.440366 0.929842 2.950125 32.924354 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.232939 0.422154 0.905080 2.977260 39.662687 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.219117 0.398881 0.861801 2.888092 42.427677 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.207304 0.379195 0.826140 2.825573 46.481527 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.204109 0.379263 0.849442 3.113735 79.668677 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.198459 0.372868 0.851794 3.287065 125.964393 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.189992 0.358852 0.827634 3.275934 158.464845 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.180047 0.340456 0.786833 3.131804 160.009507 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.174486 0.332404 0.778705 3.215769 245.906245 NaN NaN